双语:央行降息降准对股市的影响是为了拯救股市吗

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双语:央行降息降准是为了拯救股市吗?
双语:央行降息降准是为了拯救股市吗?
尽管央行周二发布降息降准声明时,只字未提过去两天的股市崩盘,但分析师普遍认为,这项宽松政策的主要目的正是拯救陷入死亡螺旋的中国股市。
After sitting on its hands for two days in which the local stock market fell over 15%, China&s central bank Tuesday cut its official lending rates and its reserve requirements on local banks in what appeared to be an effort to stop the rot.
中国股票市场在两天内暴跌超过15%。在此期间,央行一直袖手旁观。但本周二,中国央行宣布下调官方贷款利率和银行存款准备金要求,此举看来似乎是在努力阻止股市崩盘。
The People&s Bank of China said it will cut its one-year lending rate by 0.25 percentage point to 4.6% and its benchmark one-year savings rate by 0.25 point to 1.75%. Just as importantly, it will cut the reserve requirement ratio on most large banks by 0.5 percentage point, freeing up around $100 billion in liquidity that may now be lent to the economy instead of being hoarded at the central bank.
中国人民银行宣布,将一年期贷款基准利率下调0.25个百分点至4.6%,一年期存款基准利率下调0.25个百分点至1.75%。另外一项重要举措是,将大型银行的存款准备金率降低0.5个百分点,这一措施有望释放出约1000亿美元的流动性&&这笔资金有可能被注入实体经济,而不是囤积在央行。
The move provided an immediate sugar rush to global markets that had, in any case, rebounded healthily after Monday&s turmoil, when fears about the strength of the Chinese economy sent prices for stocks and commodities tumbling.
本周一,对中国经济增长势头的担忧导致股票和大宗商品价格暴跌,全球股市一片混乱。中国央行的&双降&措施,无异于给全球金融市场降了一场及时雨,各国股市均出现健康反弹。
However, the action left some observers bemused, appearing too little, too late, to restore confidence in policy-makers& ability to keep the market orderly as the bubble deflates. The authorities had intervened aggressively through all of July and early August to keep stock losses within bounds, but had appeared to give up direct intervention since then, allowing the Shanghai composite index to fall another 25%. After a 7.3% drop on Tuesday, the SHCOMP is down 43% from its peak in June.
然而部分观察家对这一举措感到困惑,因为它似乎规模太小,行动太慢,不足以恢复人们对中国决策者们的信心,即相信他们能够在泡沫破裂的过程中保持市场有序发展。整个七月及八月初,中国政府一直在对股市进行积极干预,希望将股市下跌幅度控制在一定范围之内,但决策者随后似乎逐渐放弃了直接干预,眼看着上证综指再次下跌25%却无动于衷。周二,上证综指下跌7.3%,相比6月份的最高值下跌了43%。
In an exhaustive policy statement on its website, the PBoC surprisingly made no reference to the carnage on the mainland stock market in the last two days. The Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have lost over 15% in that time, not least on disappointment that the PBoC hadn&t delivered any more stimulus since allowing the yuan to depreciate against the dollar for the first time in 21 years earlier this month.
中国人民银行在官网上发布了一份详细的政策声明,但令人意外的是,声明中并未提及过去两天的股市崩盘。本月初,中国人民银行在21年来首次使人民币对美元贬值,但之后并未推出更多刺激措施,导致市场失望情绪蔓延,过去两天,沪深两地市场的跌幅超过了15%。
&This round of targeted RRR cuts aims at strengthening the capacity of financial institutions to support the developments of agricultural sector, rural areas and farmers and micro and small enterprises, reinforcing the positive incentive, supporting the key areas and weak sectors in the national economy and providing financial support to popular entrepreneurship and innovation,& the PBoC said.
中国人民银行称:&本轮定向降准的目的是进一步增强金融机构支持&三农&和小微企业的能力,强化正向激励,加大对重点领域和薄弱环节的支持力度,为大众创业与创新提供金融支持。&
There&s no denying that high real interest rates have been punishing China&s corporate sector, compounding the problems caused by three years of deflation in factory gate prices.
不可否认,高实际利率一直在惩罚中国的企业部门,进一步加剧了工业品出厂价格连续3年下跌造成的问题。
Reading the tea-leaves, Nick Kounis, an analyst with ABN Amro in London, said there is more easing &on the cards& after the PBoC said in its statement that it will use its policy tools &flexibly& and dropped its usual reference to &prudent& policy making.
关于未来的形势,荷兰银行驻伦敦的分析师尼克&库尼斯认为,中国人民银行在其声明中表示将&更加灵活地&运用政策工具,放弃了其通常引用的&审慎的&决策,因此,未来中国&有可能&采取更加宽松的政策。
But Tuesday&s action is unlikely to make the difference between life and death for many companies on its own, analysts said. And whether it will stop the exodus from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is another matter entirely.
但有分析人士认为,周二的&双降&措施,对于许多公司的生死存亡不太可能产生重大影响。至于这些措施能否阻止沪深市场的暴跌,完全是另外一回事。
Vocabulary:
benchmark n. 基准;标准检查程序
liquidity n. 流动性;流动资产;偿债能力
turmoil n. 混乱,骚动
intervention n. 介入;调停;妨碍
depreciate vt. 使贬值;贬低;轻视
exodus n. 大批的离去
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m.putclub.com央行降息又降准 多位专家问诊周一股市
中国人民银行决定,自日起有针对性地对金融机构实施定向降准,以进一步支持实体经济发展,促进结构调整。
定向降准:央行表示,自日起有针对性地对金融机构实施定向降准,以进一步支持实体经济发展,促进结构调整。(1)对“三农”贷款占比达到定向降准标准的城市商业银行、非县域农村商业银行降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点。(2)对“三农”或小微企业贷款达到定向降准标准的国有大型商业银行、股份制商业银行、外资银行降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点。(3)降低财务公司存款准备金率3个百分点,进一步鼓励其发挥好提高企业资金运用效率的作用
全面降息:自日起下调金融机构人民币贷款和存款基准利率,以进一步降低企业融资成本。其中,金融机构一年期贷款基准利率下调0.25个百分点至4.85%;一年期存款基准利率下调0.25个百分点至2%;其他各档次贷款及存款基准利率、个人住房公积金存贷款利率相应调整。
降准和降息真的对股市有提振作用吗?
@英大证券首席经济学家李大霄:央行降息25个基点降准50基点,维持货币市场的宽松环境,利于降低企业融资成本,有效应对年度中期流动性压力,利于房地产市场的稳定,对经济增长有重要的稳定作用。虽然降准的利好作用并不能够对冲绝大部分股票绝对高估后的下行压力,但是可以对市场大幅波动起到重要的减缓作用。
@光远看经济:降息降准是为了救股市。按照常规,在人民银行通过其他货币工具提供流动性之后,政策不会立即降准降息,会等到7月中旬半年报公布之后。周六宣布紧急降息降准,原因只有一个,就是为了防止周一股市崩盘,向市场认错。从时间看,应该是有关部门召开了紧急会议做出的紧急决定。
@民生证券研究院执行院长管清友:短期来看,降杠杆引发的市场恐慌情绪已经形成,降准降息的提振作用有限,稍有不慎仍有可能引发大规模平仓的风险,监管层仍不可大意。而且如果降息降准再度引发市场资金尤其是杠杆资金的非理性追捧,反而可能使监管层再度趋严,对市场不见得是好事。
@南方基金首席策略分析师杨德龙:降准降息让A股的牛市格局更加牢固,预计周一股市会大幅反弹。尤其在近期的大幅杀跌过后,市场的融资盘压力大减,以后上升的压力会变小。
@著名私募经理吴国平:降准降息,在这关键时刻,具有扭转短期趋势延续中期大趋势的作用,下周看反攻力度,如果出现高开大反攻不回补缺口,我们则视为短期反转的强烈信号,坚定新牛市,最恐慌过后的灿烂阳光值得期待!
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